I am sure if I agree with this statement about VIX index:
This is quite a curious phenomenon that I did not expect to see. I do not believe that modelling long-term cycles like these has really much relevance to actual investment or trading decisions, but in order to understand the nature of volatility it is important to first dis-entangle mean-reversion effects, and then to actually think about cycles or seasonality.http://onlyvix.blogspot.com/
What do you think? I would focus just focus on the predictable movers with volatility. My latest trading basked have fairly low volatility but up steady predictable up swings.
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